Asteroid 2024 YR4: Earth Safe, Moon Potentially at Risk

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Illustration

NASA has revised the trajectory of asteroid 2024 YR4, removing the Earth impact threat but increasing the chance of a lunar collision in 2032.

Why the Change in Trajectory?

Improved observations from the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) have allowed scientists to refine the asteroid's projected path. These new data paint a clearer picture of its orbit.

What is Asteroid 2024 YR4?

Initially, 2024 YR4 was flagged as an asteroid with the highest-ever recorded impact risk to Earth. However, further analysis has mitigated that concern.

The Lunar Impact Risk

While not posing a direct threat to Earth, the asteroid's updated trajectory indicates a slightly higher probability of impacting the Moon in 2032. The potential impact would be significant, creating a new crater on the lunar surface. Find more about this story here.

What Does This Mean for Future Missions?

Although a lunar impact is possible, it's important to note that the risk is still relatively low. Continued monitoring and further refinements to the trajectory will be crucial. Future lunar missions might even be able to study the resulting crater if an impact occurs.

Ongoing Monitoring

NASA and other space agencies will continue to monitor 2024 YR4 and other near-Earth objects to assess potential risks and develop strategies for mitigation if necessary. This includes using ground-based telescopes and space-based observatories like JWST.

This information is sourced from ABP Live English.

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